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Here it goes again; regime change in Somali Regional State, one of the
half dozen over the past decade. Claiming notoriety
for such political turmoil, the regional state and a
few of its peers among peripheral states in the
country could give a lesson or two to the federal
government and major power centres in the country
about how to topple presidents without spilling
blood.
Many outside of the region would not hesitate to call these changes in
leadership a “quiet coup d’état.” Understandably,
those inside the region would disagree vehemently.
In practice, though, presidents of the regional
state go as quickly as they come. The moment a
political figure is installed in this troubled
region, speculation begins over when this person, so
far always male, will be going.
Then there is the rush to submit resumes of records in regional
politics to powerful figures and powerbrokers in the
federal government. Gone appear to be the days when
the region had a trusted interlocutor such as the
late Abdulmejid Hussein (PhD). He was a man trusted
by the authorities in the central government, for he
was one of the activists during the student movement
that shaped the collective conscience of the current
leadership. He was also a native of the region,
fluent in Somali, Amharic, and English, and an
Ogadenian, a key prerequisite for a successful
candidate.
His apparent heir, Mohammed Dirir, the superb minister of Culture and
Tourism (MoCT), speaks, rather fluently, seven
languages but has not been able to command as much
respect with the regional power players as his
predecessor did, gossip claims. His credential as an
authentic Somali is questioned, although only in
whispers. If not for anything else, his comrades in
the Somali People’s Democratic Party (SPDP) wonder
why he has no nickname as many Somalis do, according
to gossip.
In the absence of such interlocutors, the job of fixing what goes wrong
in the “lowlands” of the eastern part of the country
is left to powerful politicians from the
“highlands.” Abay Tsehaye, chairman of the National
Security Council (NSC) in the federal government and
an advisor to the Prime Minister on security
matters, is a key player there. Last week, though,
he was accompanied by Addisu Legesse, deputy prime
minister, in conducting the most feared gimgema, a
political culture within the ruling party of
self-incrimination.
The result was the ousting from office of the regional president,
Da’uud Mohammed Ali. For those keen on following
politics à la carte Somali Regional State, it was
not unexpected, claims gossip. Da’uud has been
locked up in a bitter power struggle against his
political nemesis, Abdi Mohammed Omar, a.k.a. Elmi,
chief of the region’s security bureau.
Abdi is now installed, not by the regional legislative body but by the
leadership of the SPDP, as the acting president.
Whether or not he will be replaced by another figure
a few years down the line, as Abdulahi Hassen was
two years ago, is not the question. What those in
the gossip corridors wonder is if he will be made to
hold onto the presidential office beyond his acting
role. It appears as if that is what goes on in his
thoughts, though. In his text message to the people
of the region, he pledged to follow a “bottom-up,”
leadership style, which undoubtedly needs more time
than he is likely to have. |