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The cash crunch is smearing into the economy.
International companies often trading with Ethiopia,
a country with a sound track record of faithfully
servicing its debts, are becoming reluctant to take
the risk of furnishing transactions on credit,
knowing that the balance of Ethiopia's current
account has become the lowest in several years,
gossip claims.
A
revealing incident happened a few weeks ago; the
state owned Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE) had
wanted to open a letter of credit (LC) worth 120
million dollars, on behalf of another state owned
company, the Ethiopian Petroleum Enterprise (EPE),
according to gossip. It was to be paid to a
beneficiary in Hong Kong (with an Indian name).
Unfortunately, CBE's most favoured corresponding
bank, Citibank, declined the business, to the
disappointment of managers at the first, disclosed
gossip.
Gossip says that the business finally moved over to
the German Commerz Bank, which was kind enough to
open the LC for 50 million dollars. The purchase for
diesel has yet to be made, with the company in Hong
Kong proving to be a pain in the neck for
authorities here; in a global market where oil is
selling like a piece of cake, no supplier is under
pressure to sell as fast as the stuff could go,
least of all on credit, according to assessments at
the gossip corridor.
But this has nothing to do with the whole town going
wild last week, with rumours and speculations that
the nation suffers from an acute shortage in the
supply of oil. Many were seen rushing to fill their
tankers, and attempting to keep barrels in
anticipation of a dry season ahead.
For one, there is sufficient reserve inside the
country, and at the Port of Douraleh in Djibouti.
And almost all supplies of benzene, estimated to
reach over 150,000tns a year, come from Sudan.
Importing the diesel from Sudan was also an option
on the table for decision makers, gossip disclosed.
But diesel there comes from the deep central part of
Sudan, where it is a bit too far from Ethiopia and
involves too much of uncertainty concerning the
security of trucks.
The consumption of diesel is critical now, not
simply because vehicles, trucks and industries are
using it. It has also become indispensable for too
many businesses in Addis and major towns, where
generators are roaring, replacing power supply from
the state utility monopoly. The rush to store as
much diesel as possible comes also from fear of
paralysis as a result of a shortage of fuel and
power shedding imposed by EEPCo.
There is, however, good news in the offing; managers
at EEPCo, whose reputations were bruised due to the
unexpected power shedding, are hopeful that they
will soon stop imposing it. They are also under
immense pressure from higher authorities, who could
not conceal their embarrassment at claiming
infrastructural expansion on the one hand, and
witnessing EEPCo's utter failure on the other.
They had a meeting last week to decide whether or
not to resume daily supply of power, gossip
disclosed. Although the deficit on power generation
narrowed from 80Mw to 45Mw last week, the officials
are divided into camps on what course of action to
take. Officials like Asfaw Dingamo, minister of
Water Resources, and Shferaw Jarso, the ruling
party's parliamentary whip and board member of EEPCo,
who is also a predecessor of Asfaw, are advocating
an immediate resumption of daily power supply, after
confirming that the level of water in the dams has
risen, said gossip.
Girma Birru, minister of Trade and Industry, and
chairman of the Board, remained cautious, suggesting
that EEPCo should wait until it gets into a comfort
zone, and move slowly towards implementation of
daily power supplies, according to gossip.
Gossip claimed that they finally settled on the
decision to let Miheret Debebe, general manager of
EEPCo, to use his management discretionary power on
what to do. Judging from the continuous supply last
week, it would seem that he has proven to be the
cautious man he has always be seen as in the gossip
corridors.
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